WilliamG007
2026-01-20 23:00
And I’ve confirmed that Elon is talking complete horseshit.
AwkwardlyPositioned
2026-01-20 23:01
He talks a lot. No one should believe this.
unpluggedcord
2026-01-20 23:01
Replying yes to something doesn't really ever settle a debate lol
foobazzler
2026-01-20 23:02
Elon says a lot of things
imacompnerd
2026-01-20 23:05
Didn’t he also say hardware 2.5 would be fully capable as well? And then hardware 3?
Yeah, he says a lot of things.
LebronBackinCLE
2026-01-20 23:06
My HW3 was promised to be capable. Sooooo
HunterNo7593
2026-01-20 23:08
Yeah, if eLon said it, I am believing it 🥱🫣
MICHAELSD01
2026-01-20 23:08
So many headlines over a “yup.”
imacleopard
2026-01-20 23:09
HW3 was supposed to be capable of this year ago so…
danrokk
2026-01-20 23:11
mkey Melon
Snakend
2026-01-20 23:12
He said the same thing about HW3.
Danspa85
2026-01-20 23:12
Like he has never said anything that was proven wrong/lie!
Terrible_Tutor
2026-01-20 23:13
Especially if this is a rumour that would affect sales. Like the motion ford CEO telling everyone “wait until you see the next Lightning!”, yeah cool ok guess I’ll just not even bother with this one then.
Blackboard_Monitor
2026-01-20 23:13
Not going to believe him at his word, it's junk at this point.
FutureBiotechVenture
2026-01-20 23:15
yup
immortalalchemist
2026-01-20 23:15
This is nothing more than a marketing push to get current HW3 owners to trade into a newer car with HW4 before the FSD transfer deadline.
HunterNo7593
2026-01-20 23:21
Unsupervised FSD is still a decade away as the access to compute for handling edge cases and have the reasoning and adaptability people have is a mirage. If only Tesla had made the supervised FSD available to masses (cheaper subscription), they would have a great deal more training data to handle different permutations and combinations of boundary conditions. Scientifically, the true Level 4/5 autonomy in cars is no closer to reality than the AGI.
Worried-Current-4567
2026-01-20 23:22
My neighbor’s son is capable of achieving A grades without needing anyone’s help too.
MisterBumpingston
2026-01-20 23:22
Whatever, dude…
Hoodamush
2026-01-20 23:23
Idk, Elon fans don’t like criticism of their leader, no matter how true it might be.
Just_A_Nobody_0
2026-01-20 23:24
Ahhh but when I bought my FSD I was told the car already had everything needed to become a robo taxi, just needed to wait for the software update coming later in the year... back in 2019.
Yeah, I know - should have gotten it in writing.
THATS_LEGIT_BRO
2026-01-20 23:25
But does he know how much wood would a woodchuck chuck if a woodchuck could chuck wood?
immortalalchemist
2026-01-20 23:27
Tesla Rule#1: Elon Lies
HW2.5 was supposed to do all the things but then we needed to get the HW3 retrofit. And HW3 has issues that get corrected with HW4 but nope we can’t go HW3->HW4 even though there was talk of another retrofit. Now HW5 is about to become a thing.
unpluggedcord
2026-01-20 23:58
To be fair my hw4 seems to self drive just fine.
immortalalchemist
2026-01-20 23:59
My HW3 does not lol
GO__NAVY
2026-01-21 00:16
yup
dubie4x8
2026-01-21 00:21

iwilltalkaboutguns
2026-01-21 00:35
Lol he said the same thing about hw2 back in 2016.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/oct/20/elon-musk-says-fully-self-driving-tesla-cars-already-being-built
Crafty_Ad5074
2026-01-21 00:39
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skriefal
2026-01-21 02:17
The Musk who cried wolf has claimed this for how many consecutive years now? 10? 11? I'd like to see this - really! - but am well past the point of being able to believe it.
McFatty7
2026-01-21 13:16
From the YouTube videos that I've seen, [like this one](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=23aKH6qZNhw&t=162s), the actual FSD on both HW3 and HW4 are "similar", but the HW4 is more polished, and can do angled-autopark in a parking lot, [whereas HW3 cannot](https://youtu.be/23aKH6qZNhw?si=SBWRbl-eUTGJh7KU&t=504).
mitch2888
2026-01-21 13:22
Yup. People will be saying "why did he lie to me again" when they buy another new vehicle just so they can transfer something they paid 8k or 15k for years ago and their hardware will be obsolete and it won't work. Fool me once, shame on you. But you can't fool me again...
mitch2888
2026-01-21 13:27
Tesla and elon lovers "fool me once, shame on you. But go ahead and fool me again and again and again...."
WowChillTheFuckOut
2026-01-21 14:09
Sure bud
Kevlar-700
2026-01-21 15:33
I think someone spends a lot of money to bury critical headlines and create/promote beneficial ones.
Kevlar-700
2026-01-21 15:36
If you talk to an actual engineer you will soon see that redundant sensors other than cameras and software are needed. So HW4 is also a lie.
Kevlar-700
2026-01-21 15:42
When will he grow a conscience?
ronntron
2026-01-21 17:49
Capable in 2030? I assume we won't get unsupervised for years.
XimoFVerde
2026-01-21 17:56
No Lidar = No FSB-U (unless you have a death wish). For someone that wants to colonize another planet, it's kinda crazy to ignore the laws of physics..
DynamicUno
2026-01-21 21:44
Yes, it's going to drive itself across the continental United States by the end of 2016, I know, I've heard. Repeatedly. For a decade.
FANGO
2026-01-22 00:14
Release it and take the liability then
Xaxxon
2026-01-22 00:23
He said that about 2. he said that about 3. He's saying that about 4.
Xaxxon
2026-01-22 00:23
Just regular 2 I think. but they deleted that blog post a couple years ago.
Xaxxon
2026-01-22 00:45
and 2
Xaxxon
2026-01-22 00:46
cars just have be safer than humans overall not better in every specific circumstance.
People have failings that AI doesn't like falling asleep and drunk driving or just plain distractions. So AI has a good lead in those spots.
Tapehead2
2026-01-22 08:46
My HW4 is already a safer driver than me lol
1960vegan
2026-01-23 00:17
A very misleading title - Musk said only "yup" to someone expressing an opinion that better hardware isn't necessary. That's quite different from Musk making a public statement that A14-equipped cars with FSD are now ready for unsupervised driving.
Onikara-Star
2026-01-23 06:10
Did they fix the incorrect speed limits? Did they let you adjust the speed using the scroll wheel again? If not, forget it.
Deathmeter1
2026-01-23 08:11
That says more about you than anything
abrahamw888
2026-01-23 14:54
Then what is the purpose of AI5 and 6?
Tapehead2
2026-01-23 21:39
Doesn't change the fact lol
Deathmeter1
2026-01-23 22:34
I mean yeah that's true.
However FSD has tried to drive me into a parked car like 4x across HW3 and HW4 so if you're worse than that I worry lol
Tapehead2
2026-01-24 01:35
HW3 or even HW4 earlier versions totally had some flaws.
I'm referring to HW4 >=v14.2.2. Insanely good now.
shadrap
2026-01-25 18:43
And 1.
Xaxxon
2026-01-25 22:52
I don't think that's true. Do you have a source on that?
shadrap
2026-01-25 23:05
I don't have a source, but I had a HW1 and when it was released, fully autonomous was the exciting promise.
If I can find a claim beyond my recollection, I will post it.
EDIT: You are correct, and it appears my recollection was in error. Thank you for the correction.
Xaxxon
2026-01-25 23:09
For example I know the made a blog post (and just recently deleted it) that clearly stated that hw2 was fully capable. That's why they had to offer free upgrades to hw3.
No such upgrades were available for hw1 that I know of. But for sure Elon talks a lot about a lot of things so there may have been implications that it would be but I don't think it was specifically promised.
Tradetheday2093
2026-01-26 14:42
AI5 hits less potholes. AI6 avoids even more potholes by 50%. AI7 flies over potholes.
icy1007
2026-01-26 16:00
Yep
abrahamw888
2026-01-26 19:56
Good. Glad we got that confirmed.