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How would you actually weight all 7 Mag 7 stocks if you had to pick exact percentages?

Training_Marzipan379 | 2026-03-18 22:13 | 5 views

I see a lot of "just buy VOO" or "which Mag 7 stock should I buy" posts but I rarely see anyone actually try to weight all 7 with specific percentages. I wanted to try it so I went through the latest earnings, valuations, and what's happening with each company right now. Here's where I ended up but I'm genuinely not sure about a few of these so I want to hear what you guys think. **Microsoft 25%** This might be too high but hear me out. MSFT is down 17% YTD and trading around 25x trailing earnings which is way below its 3 year average of like 34x. Azure is growing 39%, Copilot has 15 million paid seats but that's barely 3% of their M365 user base so there's a ton of runway. The thing that gets me is the P/E is less than half of Costco's while having way better margins and growth. The OpenAI situation worries me though. Am I overweighting this because it feels safe? **Nvidia 22%** This one surprised me. Everyone says NVDA is expensive but the forward P/E is only around 22x with 67% revenue growth. That PEG ratio is actually the lowest in the Mag 7 on a growth adjusted basis. Jensen just said at GTC that chip orders are tracking toward $1 trillion through 2027. But the custom silicon stuff from Google and Amazon is growing fast and China export restrictions keep tightening. Is 22% too aggressive or am I actually being too conservative here? **Meta 18%** I was skeptical because of Reality Labs but the numbers changed my mind. They're cutting Reality Labs hard, 1,500 jobs gone, VR studios shut down, Horizon Worlds VR closing in June. Management said 2026 is peak losses and it goes down from there. The core ad business is doing $60 billion run rate on Advantage+ alone with 82% gross margins. Ray Ban smart glasses tripled sales. At 20x forward this feels like one of the better values but I might be underestimating how much that $115 to $135 billion capex guide could hurt. Thoughts? **Alphabet 16%** Lowest PEG ratio in the Mag 7 at 0.76 which seems too cheap? Revenue crossed $400 billion. Cloud grew 48%. The antitrust case ended up being behavioral remedies not a breakup which feels like best case. But they're guiding $175 billion in capex and free cash flow could get crushed. Am I underweighting this? Part of me thinks GOOGL should be higher than Meta but the capex scares me. **Apple 12%** This is where I'm least confident. The business is obviously incredible, M5 Max is beating Intel desktop chips from a laptop, services margins are 76%, iPhone had a great quarter. But the P/E is 32x with a PEG of 2.81 which is the most expensive relative to growth in the whole group. Apple Intelligence keeps getting delayed. Is 12% too much for a stock that might just trade sideways for a few months? Or is the ecosystem premium worth paying? **Amazon 5%** I know this will be controversial. AWS is reaccelerating, the ad business is massive, the OpenAI partnership is huge. But free cash flow went from $38 billion to $7.7 billion because they're spending $200 billion in capex. That number was 36% above what analysts expected. I want to like Amazon more but the FCF destruction makes it hard to go heavier. Am I wrong here? Is AWS growth enough to justify the capex? **Tesla 2%** I really struggled with this one. Revenue declined. Deliveries fell for the second straight year. BYD passed them globally. Europe sales dropped 44%. The P/E is like 370x. But the robotaxi stuff in Austin is actually happening and the energy business grew 27%. I kept 2% as basically an option on the robotaxi thesis working out. Should I just cut it to 0 or is there something I'm missing? This is meant to be a quarterly rebalance thing, not set it and forget it. I'm watching Azure numbers, Nvidia's Vera Rubin ramp, Meta's Reality Labs trajectory, and Amazon's FCF recovery as the main things that would make me shift. Where am I wrong? Would love to hear how you'd weight these differently.

Comments (56)
rebel-capitalist 2026-03-18 22:15

Put the fries in the bag

what_could_gowrong 2026-03-18 22:17

6.9420% for tesla because tesla

Training_Marzipan379 2026-03-18 22:17

hahaha

suugami 2026-03-18 22:17

Have you ever heard of a ETF

Metaischeap 2026-03-18 22:22

Alphabet peg ratio is not .76 my boy idk where you got your info google peg is closer to a 1.5-1.8 meta is the cheapest in mag 7 by far

Training_Marzipan379 2026-03-18 22:22

Yeah, but why not create my own?

johnmiddle 2026-03-18 22:23

ETF mags

thegr8lexander 2026-03-18 22:26

Googl should be higher. Extremely undervalued compared to peers

AnalytickAi 2026-03-18 22:26

Interesting weights. Some people will cut AAPL down to 8, it's the most mature of the 7 with the least AI upside near term. Take that and add it to NVDA. TSLA at 2 feels right, more of a sentiment stock than a fundamentals play at this point.

696E6E6F 2026-03-18 22:32

Googl 88% rest 12% Tsla 0%

Alarming_Pension_213 2026-03-18 22:33

Google - 30% Amazon - 25% Nvidia - 15% Microsoft - 15% Apple - 10% Tesla - 5% Meta - 0%

Icy-Sheepherder-7595 2026-03-18 22:41

Maybe a year ago. CAPEX is high FCF lower. Not at all like how it was before where they were the only Mag7 not burning cash but now they're spending to catch up.

Training_Marzipan379 2026-03-18 22:41

yeah that's trailing PEG from last year's 37% earnings growth, not forward. forward is definitely higher. meta probably is cheaper on a growth adjusted basis you're right. would you flip the two?

Stealthless 2026-03-18 22:41

Microsoft shit af

Icy-Sheepherder-7595 2026-03-18 22:44

Because with an ETF you don't have to worry about rebalancing

Icy-Sheepherder-7595 2026-03-18 22:44

Tesla over Meta? Really?

Blade3colorado 2026-03-18 22:51

Actually, this is quite interesting to me, particularly since it caused me to look at my 3 Fidelity accounts, where I have a total of $2.2 million, albeit, approximately $500k is managed by a Fidelity Team\* (they call it "Fidelity U.S. Large Cap Strategy"). Specifically, I was wondering about the %s in this managed account. It should also be noted that I own 2500 shares of NVDA in my regular Fidelity account, along with a 1000 AMZN shares, and 1100 shares of AVGO (which just joined the "trillion" dollar club a month or so ago). Anyway, I highlighted the "% Of Account" column and of the approximately 150 stocks/ETF this Fidelity Team has me in, VOO is the highest at 9.96%; NVDA 7.83%; AMZN 4.56%; MSFT 4.13%; GOOGL 3.32%; META 2.73%; AAPL 2.40%; and, TSLA .30% (note: AVGO 2.58% and XOM 2.56% were ahead of AAPL and TSLA). \*Minimum investment of $100k required for an account with this Fidelity Team.

AuthorizedShitPoster 2026-03-18 22:56

100% TSLA (short), 0% rest

Training_Marzipan379 2026-03-18 23:12

that's interesting, nvda on top and tsla basically nothing lines up with what i landed on too. how do you feel about them having amzn above msft? that's the opposite of what i went with. also 2500 shares of nvda is wild lol

TimelyBodybuilder121 2026-03-18 23:16

GOOG>AMZN>AAPL>NVDA>MSFT. META is being stupid with money. TSLA is kinda falling behind in the EV market. MSFT is being stupid with decissions but their OS releases are always 1 version sh-t 1 version actually good. 10 was good, so 11 had to be sh-t, 12 will be good. Since everything is relatively expensive I'll just base it on the ammount of least stupid decissions and user or customer retention.

LFG530 2026-03-18 23:25

Why Apple over Nvidia?

TimelyBodybuilder121 2026-03-18 23:35

Not as exposed in case AI is a bubble. Still involved on the AI side on the neuromorphic R&D side. Way more efficient than the current architecture if someone makes it work properly. Iphones are still solid. MacOS is a boring, but stable corporate alternative if MSFT keeps making their OS worse.

I-Own-A-Lambo 2026-03-18 23:35

Tesla is not mag7 idgaf what talking head included it, netflix or broadcom take thatcspot

TellFit7415 2026-03-18 23:38

But you have to worry about shit companies like Carvana getting added to the Spy

Excellent_Jeweler_43 2026-03-18 23:46

Can we stop lumping in Tesla with legitimate growth companies?

Prudent-Corgi3793 2026-03-18 23:47

Based on current prices: - NVDA: 25% - GOOG: 25% - MSFT: 25% - AMZN: 15% - META: 15% - AAPL: 5% - TSLA: -10%

Thin_Cat8817 2026-03-18 23:48

GOOG 25 MSFT 20 AMZN 18 NVDA 15 AAPL 12 META 10 TSLA 0

PERSONA916 2026-03-19 00:18

25% Google 20% Meta 20% Amazon 15% Microsoft 15% Nvidia 5% Apple 0% Tesla Top 3 I think have the best case for AI improving their primary business. Apple is a fully mature company priced as a growth stock but is still a legit cash cow. Tesla is a meme coin.

HayBailerExtra 2026-03-19 00:19

Google 50% MSFT 25% AMZN 25%

IBangTokyoWife 2026-03-19 00:20

30% GOOG 30% NVDA 15% META 10% AMZN 10% MSFT 4% AAPL 1% TSLA

Hairy_Muff305 2026-03-19 00:22

I would argue that AMZN have an amazing moat. Behind all the AWS, AI, telemed and so on, the online retail business seems to me to be an unassailable monopoly. So when tech shits the bed, AMZN will keep going.

spenga 2026-03-19 00:23

Meta 70% Google 10 % Amazon 10% Nvidia 10% The rest are zeros

14X8000m 2026-03-19 00:37

More Amazon and Goog, less Microsoft / Meta.

Metaischeap 2026-03-19 00:39

i own both and i trimmed some google bc it ran up a bunch, its still a forever stock its an unreal company, but meta is crazy crazy cheap rn its at a forward p/e of 20 and they will be a winner of ai they have arguably the quickest path to net gain with add optimization and they know how to make an app popular but yeah meta is an 800$ stock today google is about where it should be wouldnt be to crazy for it to go to like 350$ but anything past i would trim a large chunk and wait to reenter

totalnoobass 2026-03-19 00:40

Where's AVGO, and why is TSLA on that list?

Blade3colorado 2026-03-19 00:48

I'm probably prejudiced, as I already own 1000 shares of Amazon. Nevertheless, I suspect some folks think the AMZN negative is their high CAPEX spending, which is projected to be $200 billion+ . . . In effect, the 2 negatives are: 1. Zero to very little cash reserves; and, 2. What's their payback going to be on such huge spending? Conversely, MSFT is down currently due to the lukewarm opinion of Co-Pilot. Specifically, although the AI assistant has gained millions of users, its adoption rate remains a small fraction of the total Office 365 user base, leading analysts to worry that the "AI payback period" may take much longer than originally anticipated. Thankfully, I bought AMZN at $215 cost basis, so I am not too concerned about it.

flat-waffles 2026-03-19 01:40

You aren't actually shorting tesla are you? I thought there was going to be shenanigans with taking spacex pubic and rolling it up with tesla. that shits going to get massive upward pressure

DiscountAcrobatic356 2026-03-19 01:48

You have 2% too much Tesla

mojitosupreme 2026-03-19 01:58

Agreed on this

LEAPStoTheTITS 2026-03-19 02:03

I’d go heavier on AMZN and googl with less Microsoft but WAY less meta and 0 tsla  But tbh this is kinda dumb for lots of reasons.

lindcookie 2026-03-19 02:30

You're allowed to write shit on the internet

deffjams09 2026-03-19 02:31

Ehh both Elon companies will attract the same type of investor. When space x comes public it will compete with Tesla for a lot of the same investment dollars.

HatersTheRapper 2026-03-19 05:04

I would do 0% TSLA, 50% META 50% NVDA, if I was feeling really wild 10% MSFT and 10% GOOG, I would not buy amzn and I would never buy TSLA if my company had it's valuation my small business grossing between 100-200k a year would be valued at like 43 million dollars.

New_Bad_8760 2026-03-19 05:09

1/3 each GOOG AMZN AAPL

AuthorizedShitPoster 2026-03-19 05:17

No, but the post said if I had to.

Training_Marzipan379 2026-03-19 05:20

I'm a little bullish about Apple because their new chips are killing it, the local LLM performance is impressive.

iXProject 2026-03-19 05:46

Tesla is a legitimate scam company

iXProject 2026-03-19 05:47

META still prints cash, same issue as in 2022, Zuck will capitulate

Not_a_CSIS_agent 2026-03-19 06:11

Catching up to who and to what, exactly? Capex ain’t getting cheaper…

JR-FlowCapGroup 2026-03-19 07:02

I would look at weighing at a different angle. Instead of weighing on either performance or the quality of the business, try weighing them according (under)valuation.  Let's assume company A is undervalued and company B is fairly valued. The growth prospect are the same and they are AI players. I'd consider having a higher weigh percentage for company A compared to company B. Theoretically, if the stock market is correct and evenly distributed, you'll make more money with company a, if this makes sense. Make your high conviction bets, high weighing. Also, I stopped trying to understand why people keep investing in tesla.

Luuigi 2026-03-19 08:15

Essentially Everyone on this planet loves apple products but stock pickers despise them. Its the other way around for msft.

TimelyBodybuilder121 2026-03-19 08:26

Robo autoban says otherwise.

Icy-Sheepherder-7595 2026-03-19 09:57

They weren't spending as much as competitors on improving their AI products. It's an arms race. They want to catch up to and surpass their competition. What is so hard to understand.

Prudent-Corgi3793 2026-03-19 10:57

If you want specifically Mag 7 exposure, there's the MAGS ETF, but it's terrible, even if you decide you want exactly seven stocks in your portfolio and are too lazy to buy those seven stocks yourself. The expense ratio is "only" 29 bps, but they use ridiculous return swaps which completely kill their return. I can't think of any reason to do this except so they can be technically considered "diversified", even if this does absolutely nothing to really diversify their portfolio. In the meantime, it means they've trailed just buying the seven stocks by almost 4% per year (and about 20% cumulatively since inception): https://testfol.io/?s=6JU8nboO9Nc Assuming a $1M investment for 30 years, with even a relatively conservative 10% expected return, that 4% real drag will cost you $11.7M over the life of the investment--more than 2/3 of the amount you would have had otherwise. (If you want to assume the Mag 7 will continue delivering 40% per year--which would never happen--then that will cost you $14 billion over the life of the investment.)

Icy-Sheepherder-7595 2026-03-19 11:16

I was more so referring to just buying VOO, VT, QQQ, etc...

Prudent-Corgi3793 2026-03-20 01:46

Great company. I personally spend a ton of money each year on AAPL products, and I was waiting to upgrade an M5 Ultra with 512 GB for exactly this reason (who knows if it will even get released at this point). The reason I only kept AAPL at market weight within the Mag 7 is two-fold: - They have the highest valuation of any Mag 7 (besides TSLA). - They have the lowest growth rate of any Mag 7 (besides TSLA). From Fiscal.ai, but other sources tell a similar story: | Stock | TTM P/E | NTM P/E | Rev CAGR (3 yr) | Dil EPS CAGR (3 yr) | |:--|:--|:--|:--|:--| | NVDA | 36.4 | 24.2 | 68.8% | 86.2% | | AAPL | 31.5 | 28.4 | 4.0% | 10.3% | | GOOGL | 28.3 | 25.5 | 12.5% | 33.4% | | MSFT | 24.3 | 21.4 | 14.4% | 21.1% | | AMZN | 29.1 | 26.3 | 11.7% | 198.3% | | META | 25.8 | 19.5 | 19.9% | 39.8% | | TSLA | 352.1 | 181.1 | 5.2% | (-33.2%) |

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