← Back to topic list

🚀 BYD (1211.HK / BYDDF) - Why I Think This Stock Is Set to Run in 2026

IulianHI | 2026-03-17 09:19 | 4 views

I've been deep-diving into BYD lately and I wanted to share my bullish thesis. I believe BYD is significantly undervalued and has several major catalysts ahead that could drive the stock higher this year. Here's why: # 1. The New Global EV King BYD officially dethroned Tesla as the world's #1 EV maker in 2025. They sold **2.26 million battery electric vehicles**, up nearly 28% from 2024, while Tesla's deliveries dropped \~8% YoY to 1.64 million. For 2025 overall, BYD moved **4.6 million NEVs globally**. Love them or hate them — the numbers don't lie. # 2. Blade Battery 2.0 — A Game-Changing Catalyst This is the big one. BYD just unveiled its **next-gen Blade Battery 2.0** on March 5, 2026: * **1,000+ km CLTC range** on a single charge * **10% to 97% charge in \~9 minutes** using their proprietary 1,500 kW Flash Charging stations * **Energy density: 190–210 Wh/kg** (up from \~140 Wh/kg on the original Blade) * Survives nail penetration tests after 500+ fast-charge cycles * **4,500+ cycle lifespan** (\~1.2 million km total) That's basically gas station speed. If this delivers as promised, it's a paradigm shift that eliminates range anxiety AND charging anxiety in one shot. # 3. Explosive Export Growth While domestic sales face headwinds (new 5% purchase tax + fierce competition), BYD's international play is accelerating: * **Target: 1.3M overseas shipments in 2026** (+24% vs 2025) * Citigroup estimates up to **1.6M units** overseas this year * UK sales grew **+577% YoY** in the first 9 months of 2025 * Spain sales jumped from 3,801 → **15,857 units** in 2025 * Record **133,172 NEVs exported** in December 2025 alone (+133% YoY) This is BYD's hedge against China saturation — and it's working. # 4. Autonomous Driving Push BYD's latest Seal 07 EV ships with the **God's Eye 5.0 ADAS system**, supporting city-level NOA across ALL trims — with **LiDAR included**, starting at just \~$24,600 USD. They're not just a battery company anymore. The ADAS rollout adds premium value without triggering a price war. # 5. Valuation Is Still Modest Here's the kicker: |Metric|BYD| |:-|:-| |P/E Ratio|\~21x| |P/S Ratio|\~1x| |Dividend Yield|\~4.5%| |12-month Analyst Targets|HK$132 – HK$280+| For the **world's largest EV manufacturer** with vertically integrated battery production, that's arguably cheap. BYD's market cap remains a tiny fraction of Tesla's — despite now outselling them. # ⚠️ Risks to Consider * Domestic competition intensifying (Xiaomi, Leapmotor, Nio, Huawei/Aito all growing fast) * Jan + Feb 2026 combined domestic sales dipped \~36% YoY * Potential tariff headwinds in Europe * Slowing global EV growth overall (BloombergNEF expects only 12% growth in 2026 vs 23% in 2025) * Blade 2.0 real-world performance still unproven at scale # TL;DR Short-term noise around domestic sales is real, but the long-term setup is compelling. **Blade Battery 2.0 + global expansion + autonomous driving tech + modest valuation** = one of the most asymmetric plays in the EV space right now. I'm bullish. 🐂 *Not financial advice — DYOR.* What do you guys think? Anyone else watching BYD?

Comments (0)
No comments yet.
Add comment

Login is required to comment.

Login with Google